Quote Originally Posted by boneil View Post
When the announcements hit about the exemptions I thought, bottom is in. The bond market is in control, we'll get enough exemptions to make the tariffs nearly worthless. And, this turmoil is enough to cause weak economic data that will make the Fed cut rates. The market will look past the next quarter or two and start pricing in the economy 9 to 12 months from now, which will include lower rates, increased govt spending, and maybe some QE.

BUT then there was some new announcements.........."the exemptions are temporary".

How THE F can any business operate under this BS. Add in the fact that the exemptions mainly help companies like AAPL and NVDA. Well what about small business? what about the farmers? Is any small business gonna hire under this turmoil? The amount of small businesses that will get wiped out in the coming months if the tariffs and turmoil continue will be catastrophic.

SO my guess is that we gap up in the futures tonight but I could see us ending Monday red. The market can't price earnings in this environment. It's gonna move from one headline to another until we get stability. Stability might happen in a day or months from now.

The good news is, dollar cost averaging is gonna work really well during this time of uncertainty.

I'm thinking it at least 50% chance we are starting a multi-year bear market. I will be talking with my advisor in a few weeks about dollar cost averaging that would work in if that was the case.