We're getting in the waning minutes of Day One. I'm sure several guys are feeling pretty good right now. But there are far more who know they are in trouble, and you can see some of them hopping and skipping about, looking for the "get-well" honey hole.
A couple of these guys will find a bite or two in the next hour that could change the course of this event. A few others will become complacent.
They say you can't win the tournament on Day One, but you can certainly lose it. If that's the case, then there will be a few of those mishaps in the next hour.
They (as in these anglers) also say the key to winning any big-time event is knowing how much it will take to actually win. We ask a sgement of the anglers each opening morning what they think it will take to lead.
I just looked at the anglers' responses, and I wasn't surprised to see that all these anglers were pretty much dead on. Their guess? In the low 20 pounds.
That's pretty much where we sit right now, with Rook have an unofficial 21 pounds, 10 ounces.
Now the deal for those who don't have that is if they are still confident in that guess. If so, they will be running. If not, they may lose this event in the next hour.
Just in:
Michael Iaconelli has moved into second with 19 pounds.
That's a considerable shake up, one that is certain to bring out a lot of groan from some and cheers from others. But it also illustrates the point I was just making.
The unofficial top 10 looks like this
 Scott Rook 21 pounds, 10 ounces
 IKe 19 pounds
 Terry Scroggins 18 pounds
 Kevin VanDam 17 pounds, 8 ounces
 Cliff Pace 17 pounds
 Charlie Hartley 15 pounds, 11 ounces
 Alton Jones 15 pounds, 6 ounces
 Aaron Martens 15 pounds, 2 ounces
 Kotaro Kiriyama 14 pounds, 8 ounces
 Kelly Jordon 14 pounds, 8 ounces
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