Yield Curve Inversion

[NitroZ7]

It seems like everytime something seems certain it fails to happen. The consensus was for rising rates in 2019 and maybe that still happens but how much can the fed hike if the 10 year yield is stuck at 2.9-3.0? Unless they unload their balance sheet to get the longer end of the curve to steepen I don’t see anything else to move it since inflation is still low. It sure feels like we are in a weird place right now.

[boneil]

Gonna have to start printing money to get inflation up, or we need to change the way we measure it. Probably gonna be in a weird place for another year or two, while the Fed's balance sheet matures, and then it's either a recession or the next leg of the bull market. The market consolidated for three years, 2014, 2015,2016, before taking the next leg higher.