Originally Posted by
MacIntosh
This is and has been a topic for many years. My relatively educated guess is that the real answer is a combination of factors, and that pointing a finger at any one thing will 100% miss the mark. Factors that I have heard legit biologists talk about in various regions:
1) west nile virus or another avian disease.
2) habitat loss (early successional growth from farms abandoned through the mid 20th century that are now either subdivisions, pole-size or bigger timber, or fence-to-fence agriculture, or also from loss of widespread beaver activity that created much of the naturally-occurring habitat)
3) the internet. Seriously. Much of the upper midwest and NE timber market was driven by the pulp wood market, and we all know how newspapers and paper book sales are doing—in the toilet. Timber companies are selling off their land and becoming real estate companies in many areas, and for private or public landowners/managers cutting to maintain grouse habitat is now a $-losing proposition most of the time.
4) lack of habitat connectivity (grouse brood dispersal relies on having widespread good habitat, not just pockets of good habitat)
5) return of predators, both ground and avian
6) warmer or shorter winters with less opportunity for snow roosting
7) invasive species like honeysuckle, buckthorn, barberry, knotweed, etc that displace native vegetation that has higher-value nutrition and cover.
8) expectations—if your expectation is an unnatural super-abundance of birds caused by a “perfect storm” of factors through the mid-late 20th century, its likely that outside a unique situation like that its just not gonna happen again.